Graham Dunn: January 2009 Archives

Flyglobespan back in profit

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Some satisfaction being felt in Scotland this morning no doubt, after Flyglobespan announced a small group profit for the year ending October 2008. Preliminary figures show the carrier turned round a loss in 2007 to post a £1.2 million profit for the last 12 months during what by anyone's standards has been a tough year.

Flyglobespan was spitting feathers last autumn when amid a the frenzy of airline collapses it was included in bookmaker PaddyPower's controversial - and ultimately outlawed - list of odds on the next airline to collapse. It throughout maintained it would be profitable in 2008 and so it is difficult to begrudge Flyglobespan boss Tom Dalrymple some satisfaction in announcing the provisional profit today. Here's a quick taste of what he's had to say..

 

tom dalrymple.jpg"Despite difficulties caused by the unprecendeted increase in the cost of aviation fuel, we have turned round the problems of the previous year and are back into profit. I said that 2007 was a blip - a one-off year in what had been over 30 years of successful trading, and one that wouldn't happen again. And I was right.

"Our outlook for the future is positive. Globespan has no debt, we have cash reserves built up from nearly 35 years of trading and we also have significant property assets."

"Cost control is like brushing your teeth every day," Swiss chief executive Christoph Franz says a colleague at partner Lufthansa once told him. "You have to do it every day even if you don't like doing it."

Franz says cost control is one of the keys for tackling the current challenging environment. But he also stresses aviation is a long-term growth sector and that the carrier must continue to invest in the future and stick to its budgets. This perhaps is not surprising from the chief executive of an airline which has just unveiled its new first class product and which to have first class across all its long-haul flights. 

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So how does Franz and marketing chief Christoph Beckmann feel about rolling out a new first class product at a time of slumping global premium demand? Here is the piece I wrote for our sister online news service Air Transport Intelligence on it, after unveiling its new product to the media in Zurich:

 

Swiss upbeat on new first-class cabin despite premium slump

Swiss International Air Lines is determined to stick to its long-term strategy to develop its premium product, despite preparing to launch its new first-class cabin amid slumping global premium demand.

The airline has unveiled its new first-class seat in Zurich, to be rolled out beginning this summer in line with entry into service of the first of nine new Airbus A330-300s. Deliveries continue until 2011.

Swiss chief executive Christoph Franz, declaring the carrier to be in a robust financial position, says: "The company, even in difficult economic times, is prepared to invest in the future and stick to what has been budgeted. Aviation is a growth sector, we have to stick to it.

"The first three aircraft start flying from this summer. The new aircraft enable us to renew our long-haul product, with a new business, new economy and new first class.

"It's our intention that our image is strengthened at this time, that is especially important at a time when premium demand is dropping.

"It's very difficult for the whole industry. But in recent years we have seen a big increase in the premium segment."

He says that while Swiss is affected by the economic situation, its product positioning is "long term".

"Our [new] first class will help keep our market share," he says. "Now that premium demand is declining and competition is strong, we will be able to offer the best product in the market."

Swiss will offer first-class service on all its long-haul flights. It already provides first class on North American routes, but will add it to all its Asian and African destinations.

Chief marketing and strategy officer Christoph Beckmann says this will enable it to offer premium passengers a "consistent" product.

"For us it was a very important decision to offer first-class product on every long-haul flight," he says. "We are convinced that a Swiss airline, especially Swiss International Air Lines, needs a first class. It is sheer necessity."


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As for the product itself, you can read more detail here about the "contemporary yet warm" Swiss design approach, but one of the most trumpeted features is an impressive guest seat featuring back and arm rests enabling passengers to dine or work with fellow travellers.

New airline premium products seem to be all the rage in the FlightGlobal blogosphere right now. Click here for Brendan Sobie's blog about United Airlines new business class and click here for the low-down from Runway Girl on Singapore Airlines's new business class.

O'Leary keeps pressure up on Aer Lingus

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Here's today installment in the Ryanair/Aer Lingus takeover battle. The two have been in a war of words again since Ryanair renewed its attempt to takeover its fellow Irish carrier before Christmas. Ryanair has since extended the deadline for acceptance of its offer, after securing only neglible formal take-up of its offer as of the original 5 January cut-off - an offer Aer Lingus describes as "fundamentally undervaluing the airline, its robust financial position, substantial competition issues" and which is therefore "not capable of completion".

Ryanair has already challenged as misleading the assertion the offer is not capable of completion by lodging a complaint with the Takover Panel and has today published a letter sent to Barrington questioning the carrier's arguments over its ability to remain independent.

Here's what they say:

 

Mr Colm Barrington

Chairman

Aer Lingus Group plc

Head Office

Dublin Airport

8 January 2009

 

Does Aer Lingus Really Have A Viable Independent Future?

 

Dear Chairman,

 

      We refer to your 22 December letter to all Aer Lingus shareholders in which you (wrongly) claimed that European airline consolidation is not really happening and that Aer Lingus' "independence" strategy is a viable alternative to airline consolidation. Since we believe these claims are patently untrue perhaps you could explain to your shareholders why you are ignoring the following facts:

 

1.                  Airline consolidation is accelerating across Europe. Air France has in recent years acquired (among others) Cityjet, KLM, VLM, Martinair and is now in talks to consolidate with the merged Alitalia/AirOne combine in Italy. Likewise, Lufthansa has acquired or agreed to acquire substantial stakes in Swiss, Austrian, British Midland and SN Brussels. Lufthansa has also expressed its interest in consolidating with Alitalia/AirOne and is currently in talks with SAS. BA has a significant stake in Iberia and both airlines are in active merger discussions. Why then has Aer Lingus been bypassed and ignored by this pan-European airline consolidation?

 

2.                  Aer Lingus' own advisor (Goldman Sachs) doesn't believe it has an independent future. In its latest airline research paper (3 Dec. 2008) Goldman Sachs confirmed its belief that "it seems inevitable that all European carriers will belong to one of the big three groups (BA, Lufthansa and AF-KLM) either through direct ownership or deeper alliances". Is there any independent expert outside of Aer Lingus who has any faith that your independence strategy will be successful?

 

3.                  Aer Lingus' Chairman doesn't believe it has an independent future. In your interview with the Irish Times (12 Dec. 2008) you "vowed to find a friendly investor who will take a majority stake in the airline". You also went on to claim that from a "consumer point of view" and a "country point of view", Air France-KLM "would be a better option than Ryanair" but "I haven't got a call yet". Aer Lingus' shareholders are entitled to a progress update on your "vow" to find a friendly majority investor and an explanation as to how a friendly majority investor reconciles with a strategy of "independence"?

 

4.                  Aer Lingus' Chief Executive doesn't seem to believe it has an "independent future". In his "keynote address" (to the ISTT Annual Conference (30 Sept-2 Oct 2008) in Dublin) "On the Future of the Travel Industry" Dermot Mannion suggested that by 2015, there could be just 5 large European airlines left, namely Air France-KLM, BA/Iberia, Lufthansa, easyJet and Ryanair. Can you explain to Aer Lingus shareholders why your Chief Executive believes that Aer Lingus may not exist as an independent airline in just 6 years time?

 

Perhaps this is why Mr Mannion has recently negotiated an agreement with Aer Lingus, which will allow him to trigger the payment of a "failure fee" of up to €2.8 million to himself if there is a change in control of Aer Lingus and he chooses to resign. Why would Aer Lingus or Mr Mannion discuss, negotiate or agree such a large "failure fee" if either you or Mr Mannion really believe that Aer Lingus has an "independent future"?

 

 

Yours sincerely,

 

 

Michael O'Leary

Chief Executive

 

 

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