The outcome of the “Red Line” drawn by the USA in the Syrian chemical weapons issue will have many consequences. One will be an effort to increase Israeli air power to a magnitude that has never yet been reached.
Officially, Israel continues to keep a very low profile about the agreement, which was actually dictated by Moscow, but unofficially, senior Israelis say they do not believe Assad will surrender his entire stockpile of chemical weapons. Israeli sources reported yesterday that there are signs that in recent days Syria has transferred some of these deadly chemicals to Iraq and Lebanon.
US Secretary of State John Kerry flew to Jerusalem on Sunday to reassure Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that the US-Russian deal to secure Syria’s chemical weapons does not diminish American resolve to prevent Iran from gaining a nuclear weapon.
The Americans realise that while Israel is concerned about the chemical weapons of the Syrians , the major concern is the effect of the Syrian agreement on Iran’s galloping towards nuclear capability.
President Obama said that Iran recognises it should not draw the wrong conclusion because he made the decision not to launch a missile strike against Syria.
All the above is more or less the situation at the moment. One thing is clear: Israel has lost almost all its intentions to rely on assistance from the USA in the case that Syria does not comply with the fresh agreement. But it also does not rely on any real American action if Iran crosses the nuclear red line.
It’s not that until now the Israeli air force (IAF) did not get in the morning what it dreamed about at night, but in the new situation sources say the “dreams will come true during the night”.
What does it mean? Without breaching any security limits, it is clear that the road for a second squadron of Lockheed Martin F-35′s was paved with very solid concrete. It is also clear that the Israeli defence and aerospace industries will get more funds to develop those systems that could win a war. These are usually not offered even by allies such as the USA.
In July, Israel tested what was referred to as “a rocket propulsion system”. The launch was performed from the Israeli missile test base at Palmachim in central Israel.
Reports in the foreign press claim that the test was part of the Jericho 3 ballistic missile development programme.
According to these reports, the missile has a range of 7,800km with a 500kg payload. The press reports claim that with a 1,000kg warhead the range is 5,000 km.
According to many foreign sources, Israel has a big arsenal of Jericho ballistic missiles deployed in an IAF base.
The new situation since the agreement about Syria will undoubtedly see added capabilities for the IAF and across the board, with an emphasis on range and precision.