Is there an orders bubble?

With more airliners than ever being ordered, concerns are mounting that demand is reaching unsustainable levels and the industry is facing an orders bubble.
A new Industry Insight paper from Flightglobal’s consultancy Ascend casts doubt on suggestions that the passenger aircraft market is over-ordered, however.
Drawing on analysis from exclusive data, Ascend looks at key factors such as delivery lead times, deliveries as a percentage of fleet sizes and predicted replacement levels to come to its conclusions. Meanwhile, in another Industry Insight our experts examine the contrasting widebody strategies of Airbus and Boeing, and lay out the opportunities and risks of different ­scenarios facing the big two ­airliner manufacturers.
Both papers will be published on day one of the Farnborough air show, 14 July, and will be available in hard copy from Flightglobal’s stand (hall 1 stand D14b) or as a download for registered users at flightglobal.com/bubble and flightglobal.com/widebodies.

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