Subscribe by E-mail

Archives

Technorati

Technorati search
  Privacy & Cookies

» Blogs that link here

October 2011 Archives

Making aircraft, good; flying them, less so

| | Comments () | TrackBacks (0)

Further evidence of a surging civil aviation economy comes from systems supplier Goodrich. Overall, sales were up 16% at $2.03 billion and pre-tax profit gained 34.5% to $300 million, and for the full year Goodrich forecasts a 15% increase in large airliner original equipment sales, assuming Boeing 787 and 747-8 schedules are maintained.

Meanwhile, on the operating side of the equation things are less cheerful. The world's mightiest - or at least biggest - airline, United-Continental, saw rising oil prices add $1 billion to its quarterly fuel bill to slash pre-tax income by 22.5% to $660 million despite an 8.7% rise in operating revenue, to $10.2 billion. And, earlier this month, American Airlines parent AMR swung to a $162 million pre-tax loss for the third quarter, reversing a $143 million profit recorded the year-prior, as its fuel bill rose 41% year-on-year.

Are both of these trends sustainable?

Innovation where it matters most

| | Comments () | TrackBacks (0)
Full marks to Lyon-Saint Exupery airport for deploying technology to good effect. Noting that "wait times to pass through security are often a source of stress for passengers", the airport now features signs on the public side of the concourse indicating estimated time from the end of the queue to the security gates, to help passengers better manage their time in the airport.
The system - installed at security point 15 (Terminal 1) and set to be airport-wide by year-end - uses several cameras that count the number of passengers in the queue; an algorithm calculates the estimated time to reach the departure lounges.
Why has nobody thought of this before?

ecran_affichage_PIF.JPG

Soyuz off the pad!

| | Comments () | TrackBacks (0)
A day late owing to ground fueling equipment glitch, but the European Space Agency has got its first-ever Soyuz mission off to a fine start from its new pad in French Guiana.

More on the launch from hyperbola here and a great video on Soyuz and its Galileo payload from ESA


Great image: Aegean Islands from space

| | Comments () | TrackBacks (0)
Three passes by radar on the European Space Agency's Envisat built this newly-released image of Crete separating the Aegean and Libyan Seas in the eastern Mediterranean. At the top is the southern portion of the Cyclades island group, including the islands of Milos, Ios, Anafi and Santorini. Each pass, in December 2010 and January and March this year, is assigned a colour (red, green and blue) and combined to produce this representation. New colours reveal changes in the surface between Envisat's passes.

IOW_2011-10-18_Crete_L.jpg

Will your image be THE image of 2011? The Flight International Front Cover Competition returns!

| | Comments () | TrackBacks (0)

ENTER NOW!

Upload your image TODAY to the Flight International Front Cover Competition gallery on AirSpace 

(...by signing up to AirSpace and posting your image into the gallery) 

The hugely successful Flight International Front Cover Competition is back for its fifth year, giving you another chance to have your best aircraft image featured on the front cover of your favourite weekly magazine.

smushed 2011 winner.jpg

This year we're looking to capture THE image of 2011. Unlike previous years where we've had multiple categories to enter, this year we've condensed the contest into one category to find the greatest image of the last 12 months.

We'll be looking for the best photos during the year that represent the essence of this great industry.

The chosen image will once again feature on the cover of Flight International's festive issue and the winner will receive £100GBP and a framed copy of the front cover.

All you have to do to enter is upload your best image to this gallery on AirSpace. If you're not a member of AirSpace, don't worry it only takes a few seconds to join.

Remember, we're looking for the best images of the last 12 months, images taken before 20 October 2010 will not be allowed.

Last year, AirSpace user Coalburner was the overall winner and was Flight International's cover shot. It shows a Northwest Airlines Boeing 747 at London's Gatwick Airport, taken on a Nikon D70.

787 Tenth Anniversary Report

| | Comments () | TrackBacks (0)

To make a Boeing 787 requires 62 miles of wiring (that's a real Boeing-supplied fact) and enough carbon fibre to stretch to the Moon (I just made that up but it's probably not far off). Even more impressively, the aircraft's remarkable features - carbon composite structure, all-electric systems, big windows, higher cabin pressure, global supply chain and, alas, the hiccups and miscalculations that meant a three-and-a-half year delay in getting it into service - have inspired at least that many column inches in the press (maybe not enough to reach the Moon, but certainly as much as the wiring, which is still an awful lot).

As the aircraft finally enters service, it is interesting to ask which of its features will be most remarked on when time comes, say in 10 years' time, to write an article about "how the 787 has changed aviation".

My guess is that all those features, while impressive and most welcome (apart from the development delay), will have become quite normal (probably including the development delay). We will look back and identify the 787 as a milestone in aircraft design and construction, but aviation will not have changed so much - certainly not in the way it changed with the advent of the Boeing 747 jumbo jet, which shrank the world by makling long-haul travel a mass-market commodity.

What will prove significant about the 787 is that we, as passengers, will for the first time relate to an aircraft the way we relate to our personal computers, mobile phones and music players. Especially as its onboard entertainment and communication systems evolve and become more interactive and inter-linked to our personal devices, it will be the first aircraft that we start to think of not as a transportation vessel but as part of our lives.

The 787 is not, of course, the first or only airliner to offer 21st century in-flight entertainment and communications. But there is something particularly elegant about the way it integrates the latest construction technology with its flight controls and passenger experience. In that seamlessness, the 787 is to airliners as the Mac has been to personal computing. That is, the 787 just might be seen as the world's first airplane-sized personal electronic gadget.

3D? Actually, it's real

| | Comments () | TrackBacks (0)

From Dassault Systemes chief executive Bernard Charles, we get a fascinating look behind the scenes of the computerisation industrial revolution. Going back to 1988, DS and Boeing - already long-term partners and having already moved from 2D drawings to 3D design - decided to create the 777 airliner with no physical mock-up. This all-digital process did away with that time-consuming, costly stage.

That project was followed by the advent of Dassault 3D techniques for visualising the assembly, maintenance, operation and eventual disposal of an aircraft - so-called 3D product lifecycle management.

Other industries, such as automotive, have adopted these techniques for optimising design and product performance. The result is that many of the improvements in ease-of-use, environmental performance, low-cost manufacturing, etc that we take for granted in many of the products we use would not have come about without 3D technology. Indeed, Boeing believes it is simply no longer possible to design an aircraft without 3D product lifecycle management.

But now, as the 787 enters service, Charles sees 3D technology as having achieved an altogether greater degree of pervasiveness. If Chinese counterfeiters were to buy a 787 and attempt to copy it, they would never succeed, he says - but if they got ahold of the digital plans, they could do it: "For the first time in humanity, the digital understanding has surpassed the realisation."

AgustaWestland pins hopes on civil market

| | Comments () | TrackBacks (0)

AgustaWestland is the latest UK defence contractor to announce big job cuts, with up to 375 people to be laid off, largely from its Yeovil factory, in response to reduced helicopter purchases by the UK Ministry of Defence as well as slowing export sales. The exact number of redundancies is yet to be determined, and the company has launched a voluntary scheme to minimise the number of compulsory cuts it will have to make.

The final number will be known in early 2012, following a 90-day consulting period, but could be in excess of 10% of the company's UK workforce of 3,600, including 3,400 at Yeovil.

The move follows BAE Systems' end-September announcement that it was cutting nearly 3,000 UK jobs in response to spending cuts in programmes ranging from the Eurofighter Typhoon fighter to Hawk trainers and Tornado attack jets.

The Finmeccanica division hopes to shift reliance away from defence business with the introduction of its AW169 multi-purpose civil helicopter, which is being readied for delivery from 2015. AW expects to sell 1,000 of the 10-seat models over 25 years, to transport and offshore operators and for law enforcement and surveillance duties.

The AW169 will make its first flight next year, and one of four prototypes will be based at Yeovil, which is focussing its attention on main and tail rotor and transmission development. But the company readily admits that in the short term the Yeovil plant, which assembles the AW101, Super Lynx and AW159 models, will increasingly have to make do with ongoing support activity for the UK armed forces. AW169-2.jpg

And, it has yet to be decided how Yeovil will fit into the AW169 programme once it moves from development into production, and there is no guarantee that the plant will be a mainline production centre. The AW139, for example, is assembled in Italy and the USA, with a third plant soon to come online in Russia.

Managing director Ray Edwards said: "These steps together - the increased civil aircraft work-flow, the launch of the AW169 and the streamlining of the workforce - will place our UK operation on a strong footing and enable us to keep the skills needed for the UK to retain a viable helicopter capability. 

"Our military business remains central to our success. This said, extending our capabilities in civil production and competing for export programmes, both areas where the government has shown considerable support, are the keys to AgustaWestland's future."

Ultimately, AgustaWestland should have plenty of room to grow in civil markets - assuming its product can match the appeal of Eurocopter, which is increasingly a runaway market leader. As the table clearly shows, AW is a solid number two in the UK civil market, and growth appears to be coming at Bell's expense. Globally, AW is the clear number three; again a flagging Bell looks to be providing opportunity to gain ground - but that means grabbing sales from Eurocopter.

BizTable.jpg

Europeans more worried about climate change than economy

| | Comments () | TrackBacks (0)

When it comes to climate change, the Atlantic is looking like a very wide body of water. According to a Eurobarometer study published today in Brussels, more than two Europeans in three see climate change as a very serious problem and almost 80% consider that taking action to combat it can boost the economy and jobs.

The survey, carried out in June, also found that the European public is more concerned about climate change than it was in 2009 - and that climate change remains a greater worry than the economic situation.

Moreover, Europeans are getting more concerned: 68% of those polled considered climate change a very serious problem (up from 64% in 2009), and 89% see it as a "very serious" or "fairly serious" problem. On a scale of 1 (least) to 10 (most), the seriousness of climate change was ranked at 7.4, against 7.1 in 2009.

A US survey run in May didn't ask the same questions, but found that just 39% of Americans consider themselves to be alarmed or concerned about climate change - down from 51% in November 2008.

European politicians, it would seem, have public opinion firepower on their side in the ongoing battle with US airlines over plans to include them in the EU emissions trading scheme from January 2012.

As the financial world burns, aerospace looks safe enough

| | Comments () | TrackBacks (0)

The world may be clinging on by its fingernails for fear of falling into the euro crisis-Great Depression chasm, but there is still some encouraging news this week on the financial front in aerospace.

Senior, the UK-based components and systems manufacturer, has lined up a new five-year £60m revolving credit facility maturing in October 2016, with an additional uncommitted £20m accordion facility. This replaced an existing, currently undrawn, £80m revolving credit facility that was due to expire in July 2012, and gives Senior total committed borrowing facilities of £191m, with a weighted average maturity of 5.3 years - that's 1.7 years farther off than before, so the next material refinancing is now not due until October 2014.

Senior's appeal to lenders (in this case Lloyds TSB, HSBC, KBC and the London branch of Crédit Industriel et Commercial) is clear to see. As of end-June, net debt stood at just £63m and net cash was £53m, for a company that made £52 million before taxes on 2010 sales of £567. During 2010, gearing came down to 28%, from 55% at the end of 2009.

Moreover, Senior has a well-balanced portfolio of programme exposure, including more than $800,000 per shipset on the Boeing 787, which could translate into $100 milllion annually for Senior when aircraft production finally reaches planned levels. Other key programmes in the Senior mix are the buoyant Airbus A320 and Boeing 737 and, on the military side, Lockheed Martin F-35 and C-130, and Sikorsky Blackhawk.

As chief executive Mark Rollins puts it: "Given the ongoing uncertainty in the financial markets, it is pleasing to report that the new facility secures the group's funding requirements for the foreseeable future."

But perhaps better news comes from BAE Systems. Heavily exposed to defence and, not surprisingly, forced to slash 3,000 UK jobs last month in response to flagging demand for Eurofighter Typhoon and F-35 as well as long-term programmes like its Hawk trainers and Tornado attack aircraft, BAE looks vulnerable at home and in the US, where it has invested heavily.

But, ratings agency Moody's has assigned Baa2 ratings with a stable outlook to $1.25 billion of senior unsecured notes due in 2016-2041, the net proceeds of which BAE plans to use to service near-term debt maturities and boost liquidity.

As Moody's explains, the rating reflects the company's large size and scale as well as improved programme management and efficiency in manufacturing: "Operations should be fairly steady, notwithstandingnear-universal budgetary pressures with respect to defense spending and heightened competition, as the substantial backlog (approaching 2.5x revenue) moves into the more profitable production phase."

The outlook for Typhoon and F-35 is clearly mixed but, notes Moody's: "The US-focused defense electronics group could become a larger contributor to BAE's profits as electronics and cyber security services becomes a bigger priority in US defense and security budgets."

So, while markets wane and wobble and politicians thrash about on both sides of the Atlantic, at least the near-term financing prospects for sound aerospace companies look secure.

EU moves toward imposition of emissions trading: timeline

| | Comments () | TrackBacks (0)
The European Union's bid to include aviation in its controversial emissions trading scheme from 1 January 2012 came a step closer to reality today. The European Court of Justice advocate general has concluded that the plan to force non-EU airlines to acquire and surrender emission allowances to fly to or from the European Union does not fall foul of international law. The opinion is not binding on the court, but likely to guide a ruling that would pave the way for Europe to impose the scheme from 1 January 2012.

See our interactive timeline of the plan, which has been the subject of fierce clashes between Europe, ICAO, the Air Transport Association of America and the US government since it was first proposed in 2005.


Boeing 787 entry into service countdown

| | Comments () | TrackBacks (0)
As the excitement builds towards Boeing 787's first passenger flight on 26th October, we've created a special countdown of our own.

Each day we will unlock another part of the Boeing 787 mosiac (click on image below) to reveal another interesting piece of Dreamliner related content, whether historical milestones, interesting features or multimedia.

To access the countdown, click here.

787.png

Check out all our other great 787 related content:


Surely, this isn't another Nigerian scam?

| | Comments () | TrackBacks (0)
Just in by email from Umartarv Rafiwu. Call me a nervous skeptic if you like, but somehow I suspect that, down the road a stage or two, will come the suggestion that it would be ever so helpful if I booked the ticket on my credit card, and provided my bank details so they can pay me back as soon as they get their father's money out of Libya or wherever.

Hello,

We will appreciate if you can be of assistance to us as regard to some
flights we want to book for some of our officials.
We will want the services of an agent that can give us an expeditious
service to enable us to be able to meet up with some activities we have
lined up for them and at the same time offer us the best advise as regards
to pricing ad airlines.

Please do get back to us with the fare quote as follows:

1,ATLANTA/ KUL  / ATLANTA
Departure date 10/10/2011
Return date 2 WKS
Economy Class

2, ACC/ KUL /ACC
Departure date 15/10/2011
Return date 2 WKS
Economy Class

We will also want you to advise as regards to the faster payment method
which is the major credit card payment method to enable us get our tickets
issued and confirmed the same day as this will help us meet up with time and
most times short notice
travels.

Because it is more faster and I don't have to wait for long process.
Kindly reply ASAP and do let us know the best price for this route.
Looking forward to hear from youa

Air travel tax ruckus - missing the point?

| | Comments () | TrackBacks (0)

The Air Transport Association of America has warned that if the US Congress passes two new "punitive" passenger security and airline departure taxes, nearly 10,000 airline industry jobs could be cut within one year, while some 181,000 jobs could be lost across the US economy related to reductions in aircraft manufacturing, airports and supporting businesses.

Citing figures from management consultancy Oliver Wyman, ATA chief executive Nicholas Calio complains of taxes he estimates will amount to $3.5 billion annually: "The job-killing equation is simple - add taxes and lose jobs. Tripling the passenger security fee and creating a new $100 departure tax will have a devastating effect on the US economy and our customers, who already pay more in taxes for air travel than they do for alcohol, tobacco and firearms. The proposed new taxes will impact fares and reduce service, which equates to a one-way ticket to the unemployment line for thousands of Americans."

According to Calio, who reckons the new taxes will rake in about $3.5 billion yearly and would be levied to pay off the country's budget deficit: "The US government continues to use the airline industry as a cash cow, rather than seeing airlines as a growth enabler and understanding the strategic nature of aviation and what it takes to support one of our country's most critical industries."

Moreover, he adds, "Federal taxes and fees in the United States constitute $61, or 20%, of the cost of a typical $300 domestic round-trip ticket, higher than taxes paid for alcohol, tobacco or guns. The overall federal aviation tax burden in the United States has tripled since 1972.


"We are saddled with tax and regulatory mandates and restrictions that are unheard of for other industries."


Whether or not Calio's claim that aviation's tax and regulatory burden is really "unheard of" in other industries would actually stand up to fine-toothed scrutiny (surely taxes on tobacco are in excess of a fifth the purchase price?), he raises a good point - and one which has much resonance in an America preparing for an election season which will focus heavily on debt, tax and regulation. So, a few observations:

 

First, Calio and the ATA are right to say that excessive taxes on air travel would lead people to travel less, which would hit airlines. But while reasonably unrestricted facility to travel certainly boosts the economy, it is also true that the cost of providing the infrastructure that enables safe air travel falls largely on federal, state and local governments. Somebody has to pay for infrastructure, and at the moment much of America's problem is that too much paying is being done via government debt (about 40 cents of the dollar). NextGen air traffic control springs to mind as just one example of an infrastructure project that is failing because, at root, nobody is willing to pay for it - however great the prospective benefits.


The same is true of another infrastructure that Calio would surely agree is, like aviation, a "growth enabler": roads and bridges. All across America these are in poor repair, so it's quite probably time for, say, the city of Los Angeles and its basically insolvent state of California to start re-thinking the freeway concept, which is of course not free at all. Put up toll booths and you'd have a revolution? Maybe, but the alternative is falling down bridges or skyrocketing debt. No free lunch, as the saying goes.

 

Second, perhaps guns and booze are undertaxed. These two evils do much more harm than air travel, and if they really are less-taxed than air tickets are probably not paying their way. It is a reasonable principle that, in order to prevent gross distortions of people's behaviour, avoid waste and help market forces to channel investment to activities with the greatest net productivity, any activity should pay for what economists call its externalities. That is, prices need to reflect their costs to society and the environment: illness, injury, pollution, noise, loss of natural habitat, etc.

 

One conclusion is that, maybe, air travel - like road travel, guns, booze and deathweed - isn't taxed too much. Maybe it's taxed too little.

 

But consider another approach to the problem of taxes. Ask if any specific tax is too high or too low and the response is predictable; those who pay the tax say it's too high, while those who don't pay say it's entirely reasonable. Such is the essence of calls for a total overhaul of America's labyrinthine tax system, so riddled with loopholes and exemptions that billionaire Warren Buffet is able to pay, he claims, a lower percentage of his income than does his secretary.


Indeed, calls for a ground-up tax system rethink are so urgent that no respectable politician is likely to contest the 2012 elections without a plan to simplify the system dramatically, to widen the tax base in the interest of fairness and of increasing revenue.

 

So, rather than calling for special treatment of aviation - which is no more or less a critical link in the US economy than any number of other industries - perhaps Calio and the ATA should be calling for a tax system reset. How about, say, a national value-added tax combined with widespread taxes or fees to cover the cost of carbon output, noise, land use, runway construction, bridge building, security checks, etc - in exchange for an end to corporate income tax and reduced personal income tax?


That is, how about a tax system that in discouraging bad things - like energy use, pollution, consumption of resources, noise, etc - effectively encourages companies and individuals to be more efficient, and more environmentally- and socially-friendly, in the very American pursuit of "happiness", which would be taxed little or not at all?

 

It's just an idea, of course. But if the American economy is going to be the dynamic force that makes running an airline a profitable line of business, the country needs to end its structural reliance on deficit spending. Actually fixing the tax system - rather than fiddling about at the special interest margins - is the best, maybe only, way forward.

And after the 787?

| | Comments () | TrackBacks (0)

Has Boeing's new-model strategy been unintentionally revealed by a used aircraft trading outfit? According to Cabot Aviation, the firm has been given an exclusive mandate by Abu Dhabi-based Maximus Air Cargo to remarket one PW4159-powered Airbus A300B4-622RF freighter, built in 2000.

So far so ordinary, you might think. But the serial number of this aircraft is 797 - and that can only mean one thing...