Bleak autumn for flight schedules

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This is not good. One of the first publications to compile autumn (fall for us Yanks) flight listings is out and it does not look good. eSkyGuide, the electronic version of the Executive Travel Sky Guide, says that domestic flights for the collective fall months, September-October-November, will average 172,017 per week, down 8.5% versus the same period last year. Low-cost carrier flights for the collective fall months, September-October-November, will average 36,687 per week, down 4.1% versus the same period last year. Janet Libert, the editor-in-chief, says, “Not since 9/11 have we seen such a dramatic change in airline schedules.”

 

Fall 2008

Fall 2007

Avg. Low-Cost Carrier Flights Per Week

36,687

38,240

Year-Over-Year Growth

-4.1%

+8.0%

 

 

 

Avg. Low-Cost Carrier Seats Per Week

4,804,231

4,956,329

Year-Over-Year Growth

-3.1%

+7.5%

 

 

 

Low-Cost Carrier Percentage of Total Flights

21.3%

20.3%

Low-Cost Carrier Percentage of Total Seats

29.4%

27.9%

The LCC percentage of seats does go up, very slightly, but that’s only because legacies and mainline carriers are cutting. International flights for the same months, September-October-November, will average 24,766 per week, down 2.0% versus the same period last year, although transatlantic flights will average 5,452 per week, up 1.8% versus the same period last year. The guide is put out by American Express.

 

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