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Boeing's six options

Seattle-based-yet-French-born aerospace analyst Michel Merluzeau spells out what he thinks are Boeing's options in the second round of the KC-X tanker competition. You can read his blog here.

Merluzeau says:

1.  Stick with KC-767 and correct the weaknesses of the initial proposal, particularly in the area of cost/maintenance.

- This option is one of the better avenues for Boeing to patch up the relationship with USAF and gives a better chance of winning KC-X.

2.  Protest the draft RFP, insist that USAF sticks to the original document

- This will likely further damage relations with USAF and provides no guarantee as to the outcome.

3.  Switch to the 777 option

- While some believe it is already too late for 777 to enter the fray,  Boeing has done a significant amount of work on the concept.  It could still be introduced and be seen as a way to be responsive to customer requirements, what we call a "disruptive offering". KC-777 would be a formidable competitor in many areas, however it is perhaps too large and can operate from fewer airfields than KC-30.

4. Withdraw from the competition

- If Boeing truly believes that KC-30 has got the lock on KC-X, it perhaps is best not to spend anymore IDS money at this point.

5. Sue the government

- Bad, bad idea, USAF has a long memory.  Keep the lawyers away from this.

6. Hope for a split or make one happen;  read: " Cry havoc and let loose the dogs of war"

-  This is what we call "Verdun 1916″, trench warfare.  Politicians take the competition over (as if this was further possible) and enforce either a Boeing win or a split.

Personally, I wouldn't be surprised if the winner is Option 6, with an assist from Option 2. I think we can safely rule out Option 4, and Option 5 would be a big surprise.
Anybody think Option 1 or 3 have a chance?

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