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Jetstar, now offering Qantas frequent flyer points, strikes Virgin et al

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QFF cards.jpgMuch news lately has been about Virgin Australia's move upmarket to capture more of the corporate sector, but a quieter story is what is happening to the portion of the leisure market Virgin will have to give up.

The latest development is today's announcement that Jetstar has a new fare class option that will enable passengers to earn Qantas Frequent Flyer points and elite bonuses. Previously only the top-tier Jetstar fare earned status-only points and status credits.

The move is part of the carrier's overhaul of its fare structure. Gone are JetSaver Light, JetSaver, JetFlex, and JetPlus. Now domestic fares start at the "Starter" level, which is the old JetSaver Light, while international business fares start at the "Business" level. Passengers can add a "Plus" or "Max" bundle to both fares (yep, no free perks in business). "Plus" offers Qantas points and no fee changes (except for fare difference) and "Max" offers the same plus reservation of premium seats (front row and extra room seats) and more flexibility. Neither include checked luggage. On a Melbourne-Sydney flight, the "Plus" package is an extra $25 and "Max" an extra $250. The "Max" offering is similar in price to Tiger's recently introduced flexible option. To Perth, "Plus" is an extra $40 and "Max" $410. While the addition of the bundles will see Jetstar's fare sometimes surpass Qantas', the Jetstar fare will offer more flexibility over Qantas.

Jetstar will see more ancillary revenue in its choice to adopt Tiger and AirAsia's baggage model offering different weight allowances (15, 20, 25, 30, 35, and 40kg), and also charging each weight based on distance instead of its previous flat fee. Checking 20kg from Melbourne to Sydney costs $10 while to Perth it is $15, prices significantly cheaper than on Tiger. (See this chart for how much it costs to check a back in the region.)

The reckoning seems to be that with Virgin offering a higher-value product, Jetstar needs to catch up while also positioning itself more ahead of Tiger. As Qantas chief executive Alan Joyce said when announcing more aircraft for the Group's low-cost sister, "We see great opportunities for Jetstar, particularly in the domestic market as our competition changes their focus...It is an opportunity Jetstar is seizing."

The move gives greater value to Jetstar's product compared to Virgin and Tiger domestically, Virgin's possible partnership with FlyBuys, and the likes of AirAsia X and other long-haul Asian carriers with a lower cost base. Also, AirAsia is considering launching its own frequent flyer programme. Plus, offering frequent flyer points as part of a fare package gives further ancillary revenue, critical in today's air transport finances.

Some LCCs offer free frequent flyer points, notably in America, but there have been dabbles with putting a monetary value on frequent flyer points as part of tickets. Air Canada, for example, offers a variable discount on the fare if passengers elect not to earn frequent flyer points. On a Calgary-Toronto flight, about the same length of a Melbourne-Perth flight, Air Canada offers a C$3 (A$2.93) one-way discount off its cheapest fare if a passenger does not want frequent flyer points. Other airlines, such as Malaysia Airlines, offer tiered basic economy fares with the upper levels offering more frequent flyer miles as well as increased luggage allowances, but few have so basically offered frequent flyer miles for only a small increase on ticket price.

The move also supports the growing convergence between Qantas and Jetstar. Although there is a "two brand" strategy at Qantas, it is increasingly clear the newer brand, Jetstar, is pushing to be a Qantas done more cheaply. That is not a low-cost carrier per se, but rather a Qantas clone stripped of its high cost structure. Jetstar, a branded way of saying Qantas Mk II, offers a Qantas-like service--meals, IFE, frequent flyer points--for a price, while maintaining cheaper prices. (Cue the Jetstar ad: low fares, GOOD TIMES!)

Offering frequent flyer points may also placate complaints that portions of the Qantas mainline network are being taken over by inferior Jetstar, such as at the Gold Coast, Japan's Osaka, Auckland-Singapore, and future 787 routes (such as to Athens and Rome). Already the Qantas Group is placating oneworld members by offering them access to Jetstar fare inventory with the promise their full-service passengers will receive on Jetstar a luggage allowance with food and beverage service.

Virgin's FlyBuys tie-up good for corporate market and bottom line

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If this weekend's reports pan out to be correct that Virgin Blue is looking to partner with Coles' FlyBuys programme--effectively creating a rivalry between the Qantas/Woolworths tie-up--the decision will be good for Virgin's push into the corporate market as well as its bottom line.

Virgin Blue believes that if it can offer more ways to earn points outside of flying as well as appealing ways to redeem points (read: fly to Europe on Etihad), members will want to make Virgin Blue their preferred carrier. With Virgin expecting to price its business class cheaper than Qantas, companies will have all the incentives to purchase the flexible, high-yield fares Virgin is chasing, or so John Borghetti's reckoning goes.

The FlyBuys deal's potential positive affect on Virgin Blue's bottom line is easy to see.

Those who delve into Qantas' financial releases have noticed over the past few reporting seasons that the group's highest performing segment is neither Qantas nor Jetstar but its frequent flyer programme. In the six months to last December the programme had an underlying profit before tax of A$189m compared to Qantas's $165m and Jetstar's $143m. In the middle of the global economic slump--six months to December 2009--the programme brought in $157m, $24m shy of what Qantas and Jetstar brought in combined.

Qantas's partnership with Woolworths has greatly contributed to the programme's financial growth, as Qantas statements have spruiked: "The development of the Woolworths partnership in particular has contributed incremental airline revenue as well as growth in Woolworths' billings as the program matures. Those outcomes highlight the value of Qantas' portfolio of businesses, and especially Qantas Frequent Flyer, in maximising the returns generated from the core flying business."

(What remains to be seen is how much the Woolworths partnership will bring in once the initial new programme/member surge quiets down and plateaus out.)

The potential FlyBuys partnership would also bring the less quantifiable benefit of giving corporate passengers, who Virgin Blue is looking to sway from Qantas, extra value with their frequent flyer points in being able to earn points on everyday purchases. Virgin's Velocity programme does not have the breadth of Qantas' partners, although Virgin's tie-up with Etihad gave a crucial boost. Forthcoming alliances with Asian carriers will further add to Velocity's appeal, which is due to be over-hauled by the end of the calendar year.

The deal could also be a retentive incentive for  Virgin Blue's leisure passengers, those not on corporate tickets and without elite status. Although Borghetti says Virgin Blue will not forget what has been the carrier's traditional customer base, Qantas chief executive Alan Joyce says he plans for Jetstar to pick up the leisure portion Virgin will abandon in favour of an increasing corporate share: "We see great opportunities for Jetstar, particularly in the domestic market as our competition changes their focus...It is an opportunity Jetstar is seizing."

Tiger's Crawford Rix defends Stripes programme

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Tiger Australia's latest managing director is Crawford Rix, an affable British chap formerly with bmi and who you could almost hug if it wasn't for a tiger beating you to it. Although Tiger is still lip-tight about its plans, Rix's gravitas makes Tiger's secrecy less insulting.

Rix and I were having a chat after Tiger launched its Avalon base last November and, with our talk going well, I thought I would turn to a thorny and much-despised issue: Tiger's Stripes program.

Tiger Stripes.jpgMuch like Spirit Airlines' $9 fare club, with Stripes you pay an annual membership fee of A$29 (for Spirit it's US$59) and in return get first dibs on sales with the pitch being that you'll recoup the membership fee in fare specials.

This did not go down well with the public, especially once some made the mistake of calling Stripes a frequent flyer programme, as Rix knows all too well.

"I don't know why people criticise it. It's strange, really," Rix begins.

Stripes, he continues, "is simply about getting to ahead of the queue for the best deals. At the moment it's 24 hours but it could be 36 hours or 48 hours."

"We are the choice of students. We are the choice of the smart guys. They figure us out," Rix says.

"People can take it or leave it, and they're taking it in droves," Rix says. "It's very popular and we're pleasantly surprised."

Would he disclose membership numbers?

"Oh not yet. Oh no, no no, I wouldn't do that."

Rix says he expects the majority of members will recover the $29 fee in their first purchase . "If you're first in the queue for a $9.99 or $19.99 fare and it goes up to $49, there you go."

"The vast majority will recover [the membership fee] in the first round [of bookings]. Certainly in two or three flights you can recover it," Rix bets.

So then how does Tiger make money?

Rix2.JPGFirst, Tiger spends little on administration. "Why would we have cost? We're not about adding cost. It's a simple programme--very easy," Rix says.

Second, Tiger may not be offering lower fares than it has previously. What has changed is that it makes it previously public sales only accessible to its members. Now that Tiger has been in the Australian market for nearly three years, people know about its sales and, the reckoning may go, be willing to plonk $29 for the sale fares previously accessible to everyone.

That's only my take because I'm not a Stripes member, which Rix isn't pleased to hear about.

"For $29, c'mon," he says. "Who has to be cynical about $30?"

Okay, Rix. I'll try out Stripes and report back here with my impressions.

What Alan Joyce thinks of Virgin's corporate and A330 plans

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Over the next few weeks Virgin Blue is expected to make a number of announcements to help the carrier capture more of the corporate market and strengthen its network. Since new strengths will come at the expense of Qantas, it is worth considering what Qantas thinks of Virgin's plans and how Qantas plans to fend off Virgin.

Qantas chief executive Alan Joyce offered his first insights into the topics last July. Here's what's changed since Joyce's first remarks and what further changes we can expect from Virgin.

Network
Quote Joyce:
I believe it's very hard to replicate our network. It's going to require a huge investment in new aircraft in order to replicate that network.
virgin-blue-embraer-190.jpg.500x400.jpgVirgin's mainline domestic network rivals Qantas's. For regional flying, Virgin is making inroads with this month's announcement of a partnership with Skywest (although some frequent flyers have questioned the comfort of the planned yet unspecified turboprops compared to Embrarer E-jets, left).

Internationally, Virgin made significant network inroads into Europe with its partnership with Etihad Airways. The Delta partnership, be it a joint-venture or codesharing with Delta, will improve V Australia's North American traffic. What remains is Virgin's Asian strategy, which Virgin Blue chief executive John Borghetti has only said will entail more partnerships and Virgin flying some routes itself.

These intercontinental partnerships give Virgin Blue a virtual network. As Borghetti explained last August: "With a small number of airplanes [operating] into two key hubs, in Los Angeles and Abu Dhabi, we actually open up hundreds of destinations around the world, hundreds to the point we would never be able to fly to on our own without buying squadrons of aircraft."

Frequent flyer: core of corporate market
Joyce:
It's very hard for our competition to replicate our frequent flyer program. With 7.2 million members it's got the largest penetration of any domestic market of any airline I think in the world. That gives us a hugely solid foundation and makes it hard for them to penetrate the corporate market as a consequence.
A new world of choice.jpgThe most crucial part, along with codesharing, of Virgin's partnership with Etihad is reciprocal frequent flyer benefits. Corporate travelers want to earn frequent flyer points they can use for personal trips and the Etihad partnership has helped expand Virgin's limited Velocity programme. Velocity's expansion will continue as Virgin partners with more carriers.

Qantas has not done itself any favour by taking away platinum elite anytime lounge access and priority check-in for silver members. In comparison, Virgin Blue Silver Status members, the lowest elite levels, can avail themselves of priority check-in. The highest Velocity elites, gold members, do not receive anytime lounge access. Given the number of disgruntled Qantas Frequent Flyer members, Virgin Blue might want to consider what the cost is of granting anytime lounge access and adding that perk into its plan to woo corporate travelers.

Product
Joyce:
The product that we're offering is miles ahead of the competition today and we're not stopping there. We're investing hundreds of millions of dollars in new product on the ground and in the air and that I believe will put it out of reach of where the competition can get without a significant investment in product and that's going to be a big difficult thing for them without the core traffic.
Virgin's product is the outstanding item that has yet to change and its domestic A330 configuration has not been released. Virgin acknowledges short-haul premium economy has not worked and will be changed. Lounges are also getting upgraded. Internationally Virgin needs to align its product with its partners, particularly Air New Zealand since the two will be codesharing across the Tasman and a product imbalance could make customers avoid one carrier.

EBOJcabin.jpgThe more pressing product concern may be with Qantas and not Virgin. Frequent flyers scowled in November at the image of the new domestic business class on A330 VH-EBO (right).

The seats were more akin to economy seats or Jetstar's Star Class, ostensibly to make aircraft interchange between Qantas and Jetstar easy. Some frequent flyers said they would not pay for business class between Melbourne/Sydney and Perth if that was the product they would receive.

If there is one domestic interior Qantas should not dishevel, it is this one. Virgin Blue has said it will take three A330-200 aircraft to use on the Melbourne/Sydney-Perth runs. The interior is undisclosed, but if VH-EBO is the competition, Virgin has it easy. For everything else, Virgin will have to prove itself.

To each his own?
Joyce:
For Qantas it's up to us to play our game and we play our best game. It doesn't matter what the competition will do in terms of those issues because Qantas is so strong.
For all of Joyce's public nonchalance, once the doors close, expect a fight.


Photo Credit: Virgin Blue from AirSpace photographer Rear Loader

Take home messages from Virgin Blue's Navitaire SNAFU

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Long queues at Melbourne airport Sunday evening. Photo: Will Horton

I fortunately was flying on Sunday and, even more fortunately, not on Virgin Blue, whose Navitaire-powered IT booking, reservations, check-in, and boarding system crashed following a hardware failure Sunday morning. The carrier later said Navitaire should have "remedied within a short period of time" the problem but for unbeknownst reasons, did not do so until Monday morning. That lack of action lead to hundreds of flight delays and cancellations affecting some 100,000 passengers, long queues at airports, and a blunt PA advising passengers on cancelled flights to "go home". (Undoubtedly one passenger would have quipped, "I'm trying.") By mid-week empty queues indicated normalcy had returned, but the incident left two key take home messages. 

First, new CEO John Borghetti is at work "Qantas-ising" Virgin by moving it up-market: Early on in the Navitaire debacle Virgin said it would reimburse delayed passengers for airport transfers and $220 a night for accommodation. All together that could stretch into the tens of millions of dollars for Virgin but sent the message that Virgin, like Qantas but unlike Jetstar and Tiger, will take care of passengers. Underpinning this was how Virgin's fragile transformation could be rocked by 100,000 displeased-"I'm-never-flying-Virgin-again" passengers.

With the compensation Virgin managed to upstage Qantas, who came a-knockin' on Wednesday morning with an e-mail from CEO Alan Joyce to Qantas frequent flyers extolling the roo's on-time performance with the note, "We are maintaining that industry-leading punctuality this year." Joyce also boasted of new menus, upgraded lounges, cabin modifications, and a growing network. In short: Dear passengers, if you've been dabbling with your carrier of choice and have been swinging with Virgin but got caught up in their delays, return to your ole friend Qantas. And to Borghetti Joyce effectively said, "Game on." 

Second, in the just saying department, the next time a Tiger A320 goes technical because of a bird strike, a Qantas 767 has a flap issue, or a Jetstar A330 has a cockpit fire, remember: $h!+ happens. Headlines like the Australian's front-page "flying shame" were not necessary in this instance. Virgin may have gotten its dose of problems all at once and its on time performance will plummet in September, but for other carriers problems lurk around the corner.

Will Vietnam's SkyTeam Entry Give Greater Access to Australia?

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VN 772.jpg Vietnam B777-200 taking off from Melbourne

Passengers belonging to a SkyTeam frequent flyer programme (Delta, Air France/KLM, Alitalia, Aeromexico) long bemoaned there were few options for them to get to Australia both for earning and redeeming miles.

The main route from North America was with Korean Air through Seoul, a convoluted journey compared to the hops Star Alliance members could take on United or oneworld members could take on Qantas. From Europe, no simple solution existed for SkyTeam passengers, whereas Star's numerous Asian carriers (Singapore, Thai) could provide service, as could oneworld's British Airways and Qantas.

A reprieve for Delta passengers (who undoubtedly comprise the majority of SkyTeam customers in North America) came with the inking of a joint venture with V Australia. But before that, Vietnam Airlines announced it was interested in joining SkyTeam, giving hope to passengers SkyTeam's blackout in Southeast Asia and Australia would end.

Vietnam's ascension to SkyTeam, announced yesterday to occur in June, will see the blackout end and enable some travelers to fly to and from Australia. But the biggest gains for SkyTeam with Vietnam Airlines will be around Southeast Asia, where it is desperately playing catch-up.