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V Australia Delays Last Two 777s, Might Not Take Delivery

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V Aus at Avalon.jpg
Will Horton

[Updated with commentary at end]
V Australia, Virgin Blue's long-haul subsidiary, has converted its last two B777-300ER on firm order to options, according to a company spokeswoman.

This was done in conjunction with Virgin Blue's recent firm order for 50 Boeing 737s, which came with options for another 55 B737s.

Boeing was about to commence work on the two B777s due for delivery to the carrier next year, the spokeswoman explains. The carrier was originally due to take delivery of the aircraft in 2010 but last April delayed them until 2011 due to the global financial crisis.

Changing the orders to options "allow us better commercial terms, in particular more desirable delivery slots in mid-2012 to suit anticipated growth plans", she says.

With Virgin Blue CEO Brett Godfrey handing over the reins to former Qantas executive John Borghetti on 8 May, the move also "gives the incoming executive management adequate time to consider potential aircraft capabilities and to assess options," she explains.

She reiterates the carrier has not ruled out the possibility of not taking delivery of the aircraft. "Brett wants all options available to the next team."

The spokeswoman adds the move "allow us better commercial terms, in particular more desirable delivery slots in mid-2012 to suit anticipated growth plans and to give our incoming executive management adequate time to consider potential aircraft capabilities and to assess options."

"We're slightly delaying delivery as an investment in time. It makes sense to allow the new leadership to engage in the long-haul program and to assess opportunities," the spokeswoman says. Virgin Blue has also delayed any decisions about its future short-haul strategy, which it calls the "airline of the future", until Borghetti arrives.

Boeing's order and deliveries website reflects the carrier has cancelled two aircraft from its 2007 order for six B777-300ERs. The carrier currently operates four B777s, including three it owns and one on lease from ILFC, according to Flightglobal's ACAS database. The carrier expects its fifth B777 to join the fleet at the end of the year.

Update: So what does this mean for V? Given that its fifth aircraft, due for delivery later this year, will be used for additional frequencies (and possibly one new route with limited frequency) it's unlikely we will see additional V destinations until the sixth and seventh aircraft join the fleet, now looking to be in mid-2012.

The caveat is the JV with Delta, which is still pending approval. Delta could take over one of V's routes or open a new trans-Pac route V would have access to.

Another factor is if Virgin Blue will order medium-haul widebodies like the A330 or B787, which would be suitable for serving many Asian destinations, which the carrier has indicated it is interested in. (Note: there have been rumours of starting a service to Hong Kong.)

While the 787-8 and -9 would have a lower capacity than the 777s, their fuel savings could make them worthwhile as the future expansion aircraft of choice, especially if Boeing proceeded with the -10 variant. But that's all down the line, and V would have to defect to Airbus or work hard to secure early 787 delivery slots. Only Sydney-LA will be a daily route by the end of the year, and South America screams for another player--perfect Virgin territory. They'll need the 777s.

Virgin Orders 50x 737s, But Where's The -900ER?

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DJ 738.jpgA 737-800 takes off from Melbourne Tullamarine. (Photo: Will Horton)

Whatever April Fool's pranks punters come up with--787 in-flight restaurant, hologram IFE--Boeing can relax knowing it has today signed an agreement with Virgin Blue for 50 B737-800s with 25 options and 30 purchase rights for delivery from next year until 2017.

The order is the largest in Virgin Blue's history and the largest for Boeing in the past 18 months, a statement from the carrier says. While Virgin Blue declined to put a value on the order, at Boeing's list prices the 50 firm orders are worth approximately US $3.8 billion. Heavy discounts are expected, of course.

This purchase will more than double Boeing's year-to-date orders, but Boeing would certainly be happier if Virgin ordered the comparatively lacklustre -900ER variant of the 737 family. While today's deal leaves the -900ER out of firm orders, Virgin says its agreement with Boeing allows it to convert its firmed -800s to -700s or -900[ER]s.

Over the past few months Virgin had strongly hinted it would order the -900ER. Last December CEO Brett Godfrey said, "The -900 holds some appeal, at the right price obviously."

In February at the carrier's half-year results, when an in-principle agreement had been reached, Godfrey said Virgin was interested in the -900ER variant as it would provide more capacity out of slot-restricted Sydney and has a 2-3% lower operating cost per seat.

The -900ER can seat 25 more passengers in a single-class configuration than the Boeing 737-800, the next largest aircraft in the 737 family. Low-cost competitor Jetstar, owned by Qantas Airways, operates Airbus A320 and A321 aircraft domestically. The A321 has a similar capacity and range as the -900ER. Qantas operates widebody aircraft on some domestic routes, including out of Sydney. In late 2014 Qantas is due to introduce 787s on domestic routes, further pushing Virgin to have a larger aircraft on popular routes affected by slot control.


The aircraft purchased under today's deal will be feature fuel saving improvements and will be delivered with Boeing's Sky Interior, which includes newly designed seats and IFE that will coincide with Virgin's "Airline of the Future" concept to be rolled out next year, the carrier says. But there's no indication if the first of these new aircraft will be the first aircraft to take part in Virgin's Airline of the Future.

The carrier says a "significant percentage" of the new aircraft are to replace existing aircraft. Many of the carrier's -700s and -800s (the only type of 737s it operates) are coming off their leases and will soon require increased maintenance. Older aircraft, starting at approximately ten years, are more likely to develop costly structural and other issues where fixing the problem is more expensive in the long run than replacing the aircraft with a new one.

Virgin first revealed last September it was looking to order more 737s.