Freighter fire risk model outlines threat from batteries

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Risk forecasts predict around six accidents involving fire on US-registered freighters in the decade to 2021, four of which will be attributed to batteries.

The forecast is included in the United Arab Emirates' final report into the UPS Boeing 747-400F crash at Dubai in September 2010.

Modelling developed by US, UK and Canadian regulators, showing the potential fire threat from all forms of cargo including the shipment of lithium batteries, predicts two to 12 accidents - and an average of six - if no mitigating action is taken.

Accident costs under this scenario will average $50 million per year over 2012-26, adds the UAE's General Civil Aviation Authority.