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Aviation History
1969
1969 - 0066.PDF
50 AIR TRANSPORT. according to estimates by Pan American and Northwest, js as follows:— Carrier Pan American estimate Northwest estimate Pan American 131,290 131,290 Northwest 62,653 62,641 BOAC 17,200 22,425 Japan Air Lines .124,540 123,191 Philippine Air Lines 15,980 18,472 Canadian Pacific 22,545 Totals 351,663 380.564 The examiner commented on the close agreement between the two estimates. In addition, some 38,350 military passengers were carried during 1965. The traffic increase in 1966 compared with 1965 was about 32 per cent. The South Pacific traffic figures for 1965, as estimated by Pan American, were as follows: — Carrier Pan American Qantas UTA Air New Zealand Total Passengers 37,80t 66,164 16,380 800 121,145 Round-the-world traffic has shown growth in the last 15 years, and passengers totalled 70,234 in 1965 (1964: 55,346) according to CAB surveys (which exclude passengers travelling entirely with foreign carriers). The value of this market is relatively large—$88 million in terms of revenue. Pan American was estimated in 1965 to have 79 per cent of the market, from which it derived 5.2 per cent of its revenue; its market share was over 2.5 times greater than those of BOAC and JAL. Traffic between the US mainland and Hawaii grew at an average of 21 per cent per year in the years 1960-65, to an estimated figure of at least 900,000 passengers in 1965. The participants in the Pacific route case put forward many estimates of future passenger traffic in the area. For mainland/ Hawaii-Orient traffic, estimates for 1970 were of the order of 1-1.5 million passengers for the total market, while the CAB Bureau of Operating Rights estimated 1.580,000 for US flag FLIGHT International, 9 January 1969 carriers only. For mainland/Hawaii-South Pacific traffic the 1970 estimates were in the range 240,000-400,000 for the total market, with the Bureau of Operating Rights estimating 203,600 for the US flag share. The CAB examiner remarked in his report that the CAB had never allowed its decision to rest simply on a comparison of passengers and revenue passenger-miles in other markets, and that it did not consider itself bound by what it had done in other markets at other times. "If the comparison is made not with other markets but between the 1965 and likely 1970 levels of Orient traffic, it allows a probable three-and-a-half- fold expansion." The hearing of this case occupied the CAB and the 200 witnesses who testified (there were 433 witnesses altogehter) for 68 days, and the transcript ran to 9,421 pages. Even now the gigantic case is not over, for the board, finding itself overruled by the President on the matter of American Airlines on the central Pacific route, reserved its judgment on the domestic part of the case, including mainland-Hawaii, and is now doing some re-thinking. The President, while turning down the American Airlines application, recommended that the airline should be allowed to serve Hawaii, and it may therefore end up with at least a small slice of the total cake. The decision will certainly have some repercussions in the field of international agreements. Japan made it clear before judgment was pronounced that it would not take kindly to an increase in competition by US airlines, and even though a third airline has not been authorised to serve Japan, it is apparently still sufficiently worried by the situation to seek to renegotiate its bilateral agreement with the USA. The Philippines is also likely to show some disquiet over the decision; the powerful presence of Pan American in the area is already felt keenly enough by PAL, and it is likely that here also a revision of the bilateral agreement will be sought. The initial reaction of the Australian Government is under stood to have been one of surprise that Continental got the South Pacific authorisation, rather than Eastern, which had . been the examiner's choice. Continental has already established itself in Guam and the Trust Territories, and has been making moves towards Samoa, and the Australians are watching the situation carefully. But there is a feeling in Canberra that, as Pan American has already exercised all available opportunities under the bilateral agreement, the Pacific route case will in the end turn out as a good opportunity to bargain for some thing more for Qantas. HONOURS FOR ARB Last month, Mr W. Tye, then chief technical officer of the Air Registration Board and now chief executive, was presented with a commenorative plaque on his election as honorary mem ber of the US Society of Air Safety Investigators. This award —made previously to only four persons, all US citizens—is in recognition of Mr Tye's outstanding contribution to air safety. The other honorary members of the society—formed in 1964 by founder members of the CAB's Bureau of Aviation Safety, now part of the National Transportation Safety Board-—are Mr Alan S. Boyd, secretary of the US Department of Trans portation; Mr Najeeb Halaby, president of Pan American; Mr A. S. Monroney, former US Senator; and Mr Charles Murphy, former chairman of the CAB. The presentation to Mr Tye was made by the retiring chief of the ARB, Mr. R. E. Hardingham. who received a knighthood in the New Year honours (see page 46), BOAC New Year Appointments Three senior appointments were announced by BOAC on January 1—the day on which Mr Charles E. M. Hardie took over as chairman and Mr Keith Granville as managing director. Mr J. Ross Stainton. previously commercial director, has been named deputy managing director; Mr Richard Hilary, previously general manager of the airline's western region, takes over from Mr Stainton as commercial director; and Mr Alan Ponsford, public relations director, joints the board of management which looks after the day-to-day running of the airline. Other new appointments are expected during the coming weeks. Now—a 1011 Club Eastern Airlines and TWA have agreed ,to standardise, where practicable, the Lockheed 1011 s which they have on order—25 toy Eastern (with 25 on option) and 44 by TWA. This agreement, which is subject to CAB approval, follows that between the two airlines for co-opera tion on design, maintenance, crew training and seasonal leasing of Boeing 747s and Concordes. Advising Air Ceylon After 32 pears of flying with BOAC and Imperial Airways, Capt S. Rendall retired last week to take up a two-year appointment in Colombo under ,the Minis try of Overseas Development as advisor to Air Ceylon on the operation of the HS Trident IE which the airline has on order. Capt Rendall has been flight manager of BOAC's VC10 fleet since 1963. The Gatwick Crash The single Boeing 727 operated by Ariana Afghan Airlines crashed on the approach to Gatwick Airport, London, in very poor visibility early in the morning of January 5. Of the 54 passengers and eight crew, only 13 passengers and three flight-deck crew members survived. Two people were also killed in a house which was demolished. The 727 was making a trial approach in visibility near or below minimum before diverting to Heathrow and crashed about 11 miles from the runway threshold. The aircraft was on a weekly scheduled flight from Kabul and had pre viously called at Frankfurt. Initial indications are that the 727 may have developed an over-high rate of descent which could not be checked in time.
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