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Aviation History
1996
1996 - 3076.PDF
CORPORATE AVIATION against 164 units in 1995. Outgoing GAMA president Edward Stimpson is confident about the rest of the year. He says: "We look forward to a strong fourth quarter for manufacturers in 1996. Although shipments appear slightly lower for the third quarter of this year, fourth quarter shipments and billings will be the strongest delivery period of the year as industry revitalisation grows." In its recently published report Outlook for Corporate Aircraft, 1991-99, the Industrial Financing section of US leasing giant CIT says that the market for corporate aircraft in the USA — turboprops and jets — will show "...modest growth through to 1999, due, in large part, to expanding global commerce and increased recognition of the benefits of owning a corporate aircraft". The report goes on to say that dollar sales of new and used corporate aircraft should grow at a rate of around 5.3 % annually, reaching $6 bil lion by 1999. "Dollar growth will appear healthy for two reasons: equipment price appre ciation and product mix," says Thomas Hane- mann, assistant vice-president of Business Development and Economic Research for the CIT group. While this may sound as if prices are on the increase, the CIT report says that real prices (adjusted for inflation) hit their peak in 1988 and have been declining ever since. "We expect to see real prices for corporate jets level out," says Hanemann. "Prices of new turboprops, on the other hand, have been trending upward in both nominal and real terms." He goes on to say, however, that, as jets sell at a substantial premium to turboprops — 2.5 times on average—jet transactions result in a "significant share of the dollar sales". The picture in Europe reflects a tougher environment for business aircraft, although recently appointed chairman of the European Business Aviation Association, Brian Hum phries, is less concerned about the decline in operational aircraft than might be supposed. "We have seen quite a lot in the press about how numbers of business aircraft in Europe have come down by as much as 25%, and that those figures reflect less use of corporate air craft," he says, "but the figures hide the greater utilisation of aircraft." He says that many com pany flight departments, like other sectors of industry, have shared the burden of rationalisa tion, and may be doing the same amount of work with fewer resources. "A company with four aircraft, for example, might cut its fleet by 25%, which suggests that 2 5 % less work is being undertaken. Actually, the work may be reduced by only 10 % because the aircraft that remain in the fleet are made to earn their keep." That may be reassuring to the business com munity as a whole, but it offers cold comfort to the manufacturers which are trying to crack the European market and sell aircraft. The Flight International corporate air craft useage survey is prepared by Aviation Data Services (known as AvData) :PO Box2398, Wichita,Kansas 67201-9808, USA; Tel: +1(316) 262 1491; Fax: +1 (316) 262 5333. Email: avdata@wichita.fn.net The figures are correct as of 30 September. They include only opera tional aircraft, and do not include manu facturers' demonstrator models or aircraft waiting for delivery. TURBOFANS Model Africa Aerospatiale Corvette 100 Airbus 300-600 Airbus 310-300 Airbus 340-200 Boeing 707-100 Boeing 707-300 Boeing 720B Boeing 727-100 Boeing 727-100 Boeing 727-200 Boeing 737-100 Boeing 737-200 Boeing 737-300 Boeing 737-500 Boeing747-300 Boeing747-400 Boeing747SP Boeing757-200 Boeing767-200 BAC One Eleven-200 BAC One Eleven-400 BAe 146-100 Canadair 600 Canadair601 Canadair 601-3A Canadair 601-3R Canadair 604 Canadair RJ Global Express Cessna Citation 500 Cessna Citation 1 Cessna Citation l/SP Cessna CitationJet Cessna Citation II Cessna 550 Bravo Cessna Citation S/ll Cessna Citation ll/SP Cessna Citation V Cessna 560 Ultra 5 0 0 1 1 5 0 2 0 5 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 0 0 0 7 1 7 2 13 0 2 0 13 2 Asia 0 2 2 3 2 3 1 8 0 6 0 4 3 0 1 1 11 2 1 0 9 1 1 4 6 6 1 0 0 6 1 1 2 14 0 4 3 2 6 DISTRIBUTION OF BUSINESS AIRCRAFT BY AIRCRAFT TYPE C-Amer Europe 0 0 0 0 0 0 0. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 2 4 3 0 0 0 14 7 7 2 23 0 3 24 10 3 21 0 0 0 0 2 0 7 0 4 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 2 0 5 3 11 6 2 0 0 47 15 42 30 71 0 10 51 29 10 N-Amer Oceania 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 22 0 1 1 13 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 2 16 0 60 45 106 41 18 4 1 190 7 231 114 380 2 126 0 184 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 6 0 1 1 9 0 2 12 2 0 S-Amer 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 1 0 0 0 52 4 8 5 63 0 9 92 18 5 Total 29 2 2 4 4 12 2 39 1 16 1 23 4 1 1 1 12 7 1 4 28 1 70 55 133 59 21 4 1 322 35 297 156 573 2 156 2 258 126 Model Africa Cessna 560 Excel Cessna Citation III Cessna Citation VI Cessna Citation VII Cessna Citation X Dassault Falcon 10 Dassault Falcon 100 Dassault Falcon 20C Dassault Falcon 20C-5 Dassault Falcon 20D Dassault Falcon 20D-5 Dassault Falcon 20DC Dassault Falcon 20E-5 Dassault Falcon 20F Dassault Falcon 20F-5 Dassault Falcon 20G Dassault Falcon 200 Dassault Falcon 2000 Dassault Falcon 50 Dassault Falcon 50EX Dassault Falcon 900 Dassault Falcon 900B Dassault Falcon 900EX Douglas DC-8-60 Douglas DC-8-70 Douglas DC-9-14 Douglas DC-9-15 Douglas DC-9-30 MDC MD-87 MDC DC-10-10 Fokker F-28 Fokker 70 Fokker100 Gulfstream II Gulfstream IIB Gulfstream III Gulfstream IV Gulfstream IVSP Gulfstream V 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 2 0 1 0 0 2 2 3 1 0 0 1 9 0 6 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 7 0 11 4 0 0 Asia 0 1 2 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 10 0 7 0 0 1 1 1 0 11 7 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 11 1 14 24 4 0 C-Amer Europe 0 7 2 6 0 4 2 5 1 1 0 0 2 0 8 0 0 2 0 7 0 1 8 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 ' 0 0 0 12 1 2 6 1 0 0 21 8 2 0 38 10 26 4 5 2 11 3 18 3 1 4 4 51 1 18 15 1 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 3 2 10 24 3 0 N-Amer Oceania 2 160 22 54 6 119 17 58 12 16 2 18 2 40 39 0 20 30 155 0 52 28 5 0 2 1 7 2 1 1 1 2 0 167 38 129 133 • 73 3 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 0 S-Amer 0 11 3 5 0 2 3 5 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 8 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 •.0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 1 0 Total 2 201 37 67 6 168 35 98 17 25 4 29 35 7 76 43 1 31 36 232 1 89 61 6 2 4 1 8 3 3 1 7 2 1 , 200 42 170 197 83 3 64 FLIGHTINTERNATIONAL 20 - 26 Novemberl996
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