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Aviation History
2001
2001 - 0031.PDF
PS Large airliner deliveries, orders and backlogs Note: Delivery based on current production rate forecasts 1,000 800 06OO S400 200 — QARETH BURGESS 01 ,4,000 Airbus Boeing MDC Backlog Net orders S^ •Hi tHTHfl —3,200 800 — 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 est Output at Bombardier will accelerate as deliveries of the CRJ700 begin peller-driven airliner market, as the increasing availability of young second-hand examples displaced by jets muddies die market for new aircraft. With just 70 new turboprop orders recorded in 2000, output is likely to fall further in 2001. All the manufacturers are working to secure die long-term future of die huge in-service turbo prop fleet with plans to set up cargo conversion programmes. Demand for new turboprops is likely to remain, but only in niche markets. Russia's airliner manufacturers continue to show promise but deliver little as a lack of fund ing limits die industry's ability to resurrect itself. Various new Russian/CIS jet and turboprop air liners are in development and are well suited to replace die ageing fleets of Russia's airlines. These include new Tupolev Tu-204 models such as the extended-range Tu-214 and Tu-204-3,00 shrink, new 11-96 derivatives, and die Antonov An-140 turboprop. A 50-seat regional jet, the Tu-324, is also in development. If government and local banking initiatives to provide funding succeed, output of new- generation airliners could achieve economical ly viable levels - although Aeroflot's order last mondi for A3 20 family aircraft does not bode well. GENERAL AVIATION New models crowd market as business jet boom goes on KATE SARSFIELD/ BUSINESS & GENERAL AVIATION EDITOR THE MOOD diroughout die general avia tion industry is bullish. Faced with record order backlogs from an expanding and diversified customer base, manufacturers are swelling production and completion facili ties to keep pace widi demand. The immediate concern faced by the industry appears to be recruiting and retaining enough skilled techni cians to satisfy delivery schedules and so short en die lead time for availability which, for business aircraft customers, can stretch to two years. Latest statistics from die US General Aviation Manufacturers Association (GAMA) reveal third quarter billings at just over $2 bil lion, which is the best diird quarter in history for US manufacturers. GAMA says the 684 air craft shipped was an increase of 13 % on the same period die previous year and die highest third-quarter level since 1984. Turboprop deliveries through the first nine months oflastyearwere up by 36% to233 units, while jet deliveries totalled 431 units, a 15% gain. Shipments of piston-engined aircraft increased by 13.8% to 1,366 units. Bombardier retains its lead in value terms, having delivered more than 160 aircraft in the first nine months, up from 128 during die same period in 1999. Learjet 45 deliveries alone increased 50%. Cessna, the market leader in unit terms, saw a 19% hike in Citation deliver ies, from 148 to 176units,stimulated bytheser- vice entry of its CJ1, CJ2 and Encore. Raytheon, too, is seeing strong demand for its varied product line, having matched its 1999 total by the end of die diird quarter. The com pany-essentially a defence manufacturer - may be hoping that demand for its expanding prod uct line will attract a suitable buyer for its Raytheon Business Aircraft unit, which is understood to be up for sale. As manufacturers work off order backlogs, production will slow. In its ninth annual fore cast, engines and avionics supplier Honeywell FLIGHT INTERNATIONAL 2 - 8 January 2001 29
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