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Aviation History
2002
2002 - 0583.PDF
ANALYSIS PRODUCTION MAX KINGSLEY-JONES / LONDON Regional orders plummet as jet output growth slackens Bombardier secures most regional jet orders but sector braced for first fall in production since era began 10 years ago Orders for regional aircraft fell by more than half last year to 400 as the brakes were finally applied to this booming sector. And deliver ies, which had been experiencing 20°/) growth rates, levelled off at the 430-aircraft mark as jet output growth slowed and turboprop pro duction was cut further. Regional jet orders made up most of the sales at 85% (338 air craft) as the market for turboprops continued to contract. Fifty-nine turboprops were sold in 2001, almost 30% down on 2000. Regional jets also continued their market expansion in output terms, the 342 deliveries making up 78% of the total. It was 72% in 2000. Bombardier was the clear winner in the regional jet sector, taking 230 orders for its CRJ family, slightly better than it fared in 2000. Embraer had a relatively barren 12 months, securing just 30 orders net of cancellations. This was a dra matic fall: the Brazilian manufac turer secured 418 net sales in 2000. Overall, regional jet deliveries increased by 13% in 2001, but output is expected to decline this year to the 2000 level of around 300 aircraft. It would be the first fall since the regional jet era began 10 years ago. I.ast year's output rise was due to an increase in shipments at Bombardier of the baseline 50-seat CRJ and the arrival of the larger CRJ700. But Embraer again took the regional jet output honours with its 153 ERJ deliveries, just ahead of Bombardier's 148 CRJs. Fairchild Dornier had a flat year, with delivery and order intake lev els similar to 2000. BAE Systems, which decided to exit the regional market last year, sold 12 of the updated RJ-X model before the pro gramme was cancelled in Novem ber. The manufacturer still has four whitetail Avro RJs to find homes for this year.'They are not included in its backlog figures. TURBOPROP AIRLINER DELIVERIES, ORDERS AND BACKL 2000 Net 50 T4 ATR ATR 42 ATR 72 Total Bombardier Dash 8 Q100/200 37 Dash 8 Q300 50 Dash 8 Q400 74 Total Embraer EMB-120 Brasilia 30 Fairchild Dornier seats deliveries orders cancelled orders backlog deliveries orders Metro" 228* 328* Total Raytheon Beech 1900* 19 19 33 5 15 20 5 20 30 55 6 1 1 10 19 5 20 25 0 6 12 18 5 20 25 0 6 6 12 6 23 29 1 20 27 48 7 15 22 6 11 18 35 6 18 24 1 33 7 41 0 1 0 1 13 5 0 1 6 54 Turboprops total NOTES Source: Flight /nfemafona//manufacturers * Some data sourced from Airclaims CASE when manufacturers unable to provide figures Efforts to boost the sales of new- generation 70-100 seat regional jets - the Embraer 170/190 family and Fairchild Dornier 728/928 - were hit badly by the 11 September attacks. Several sales campaigns have been shelved pending a clearer pic ture on recovery. Orders for these families remain stalled. In a market that continues to suffer from the onslaught of small jets, ATR and Bombardier are now the only serious producers of tur boprops. Deliveries in this sector continue to fall, with the 2001 REGIONAL JET DELIVERIES, ORDER tally, 92, down 20% on 2000. ATR's performance in 2001 was similar to 2000: it sold 25 aircraft and delivered 20. Production of Bombardier's Dash 8 family rose by more than 50% to 55 aircraft as deliveries of the 70-seat high-speed Q400 gathered momentum. But Dash 8 net sales slumped from 41 aircraft in 2000 to 12 in 2001. The regional aircraft order back log has declined by 7% on the pre vious year to 1,319 aircraft. Of these, 93% are regional jets because turboprop builders now have short lead times from order to delivery. 2001 seats deliveries orders cancelled orders backlog BAE Systems Net deliveries orders RJ85 RJ100 RJX-85 RJX-100 Total Bombardier CRJ 100/200 CRJ700 CRJ900 Total Embraer ERJ-135 ERJ-140 ERJ-145 170 195 Total Fairchild Dorr 328JET 428JET 728-100 928-100 Total Jets total 85 100 85 100 50 70 90 37 44 50 70 108 ier* 33 44 70 90 6 4 0 0 10 126 22 0 148 27 22 104 0 0 153 31 0 0 0 31 342 1 0 0 12 13 189 21 20 230 2 34 4 2 0 42 49 0 4 0 53 338 0 0 -2 -12 -2 0 0 0 0 -7 +7 -2 -10 0 -12 0 0 0 0 0 -14 1 0 -2 0 -1 189 21 20 230 -5 41 2 -8 0 30 49 0 4 0 53 312 0 0 0 0 0 366 173 30 569 53 152 159 82 30 476 61 0 118 4 183 1,228 7 8 0 0 15 99 0 0 99 45 0 112 0 0 157 33 0 0 0 33 304 5 8 2 0 17 143 75 10 228 7 133 218 60 0 418 45 -40 54 4 63 726 397 -20 365 1,319 421 805 Regional Aircraft Total 434 NOTES Source: Flight /nterr?a//ona//manufacturers Cancellations may be "positive" where an order has been converted from one aircraft to another, but no "new" order has taken place. * Figures exclude Envoy 3 and Envoy 7 corporate models www.fliqhtinternational.com FLIGHT INTERNATIONAL 26 FEBRUARY - 4 MARCH 2002 31
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