Eurocontrol data for November shows European flight activity tracking slightly ahead of its baseline projections, in data providing a snapshot of the air traffic recovery in the region immediately prior to the emergence of the Omicron strain of Covid-19.

Data shows European flight traffic was at 77% of 2019 levels in November. That is a percentage point above Eurocontrol’s projection for November contained its baseline traffic scenario, which envisages European flights reaching 85% of pre-crisis levels by March 2022.

Eurocontrol Nov 21

Source: Eurocontrol

In a social media post, Eurocontrol director general Eamonn Brennan says that while the data is aligned with the baseline scenarios, he says it is not clear how fresh travel restrictions in the response to discovery of the Omicron Covid variant of concern might impact December’s traffic.

EasyJet, in commentary related to its full-year results, yesterday said it was seeing some softening in trading for the current quarter, but flagged continued strong bookings for the summer season.

Weekly data from Eurocontrol shows flight activity in relation to pre-crisis levels dropping back through November. Flight activity in the first week of November was at 79% of 2019 levels, but had fallen to a little over 76% of pre-crisis activity by the end of the month.

The figures illustrate a relative spike in activity in late October and early November, which aligns with a later end to the shoulder season of the travel market.

European flight activity development October-November 2021
Week CommencingAverage daily flights% share of  2019
 Source: Eurocontrol weekly updates
22-28 Nov 20,053 76.3%
15-21 Nov 20,621 77.4%
8-14 Nov 20,787 77.6%
1-7 Nov 21,516 79.0%
25-31 Oct 22,962 81.0%
18-24 Oct 23,225 74.0%
11-17 Oct 23,223 72.8%
4-10 Oct 23,265 72.4%