Embraer forecasts that deliveries will stay flat for the next two years, at 145 aircraft for 2005 and 2006, as an increase in 170-family large regional jets offset a steep decline in production of its ERJ-145 family.

The Brazilian manufacturer delivered 148 aircraft last year, up almost 50% from 2003 on the start of Embraer 170 production. Embraer forecasts the ERJ-145 family of small regional jets will decline from 60% of deliveries last year – 89 aircraft – to 36% this year and 15% in 2006.

At the same time, the Embraer 170 family will increase from 31% of deliveries last year – 46 aircraft – to 50% this year and 73% in 2006. The Legacy corporate version of the ERJ-135 will account for the balance of deliveries – 14% this year and 12% in 2006, up from 9% – 13 aircraft – last year. The dramatic shift in delivery mix reflects the declining orderbook for Embraer's small regional jets.

Source: Flight International